The unsuspected deal done by the midrange power level: #Prigoschin joins Lukaschenko. Together, as they already showed, they are strong enough to be respected by Putin and #Patruschev.
We will see in the next couple of weeks, if they build up a real pragmatic partnership, brothers in arms. I’m sure, that’s nothing #Putin wanted. But he had to tolerate their joined power already and that public.
What about the #atomic arms in #Belarus 🇧🇾? Together they can steal them from Putin. By this sidestep they are safe in upcoming inner #russian circle twist and a real #superpower for their lifetime. They can do independent politics, perhaps flanked by the #CIA.
We will see in the next couple of weeks, if they build up a real pragmatic partnership, brothers in arms. I’m sure, that’s nothing #Putin wanted. But he had to tolerate their joined power already and that public.
What about the #atomic arms in #Belarus 🇧🇾? Together they can steal them from Putin. By this sidestep they are safe in upcoming inner #russian circle twist and a real #superpower for their lifetime. They can do independent politics, perhaps flanked by the #CIA.
For #Prigozhin as well as #Lukaschenko it’s a sort of middle sight simulation of an exit strategy in times of a more and more weak dictatorship of Putin.
The main point of interest for middle range power under a dictatorship is, how to survive a sinking ship called Putin and to design more relevant power in next coming struggles of loosing the war in #Ukraine 🇺🇦 AND the end of the Putin #regime.
I might be wrong, because my thoughts are quite reasonable and reliable strategic.
The main point of interest for middle range power under a dictatorship is, how to survive a sinking ship called Putin and to design more relevant power in next coming struggles of loosing the war in #Ukraine 🇺🇦 AND the end of the Putin #regime.
I might be wrong, because my thoughts are quite reasonable and reliable strategic.
Der unerwartete Deal der Mittelklasse: #Prigoschin schließt sich Lukaschenko an. Zusammen sind die beiden, wie sie bereits gezeigt haben, stark genug, um von Putin und #Patruschev respektiert zu werden.
Wir werden in den nächsten Wochen sehen, ob sie eine wirklich pragmatische Partnerschaft aufbauen, als Waffenbrüder und unabhängigere Politik machen. Ich bin sicher, das ist kein Ergebnis, was #Putin wollte. Aber er musste ihre vereinte Macht bereits tolerieren und das öffentlich.
Was ist mit den #Atomwaffen in #Weißrussland 🇧🇾? Gemeinsam können die beiden sie Putin stehlen. Durch diesen Umweg sind sie in der beginnenden Krisis des inneren #Russischen Zirkels sicher und eine echte #Supermacht, jeweils für ein Leben, wenn sie sich vertragen. Sie können mit Atomwaffen und Wagner Einheiten unabhängige Politik betreiben und alt werden, vielleicht in Zukunft noch deutlicher flankiert von der #CIA.
Sowohl für #Prigoschin als auch für #Lukaschenko handelt es sich um eine Art Zwischensimulation einer Ausstiegsstrategie in Zeiten einer immer schwächer werdenden Putin-Diktatur.
Das Hauptinteresse für die Macht auf mittlerer Ebene innerhalb einer Diktatur besteht darin, wie man ein sinkendes Schiff, jetzt namens Putin, überlebt durch einen Sitestep, zumal in einem nun verloren gehenden Krieg. Hierfür haben sich die beiden russischen Mittelmächte innerhalb der Gewalten für sich eine relevantere Macht aufgebaut.
Ich könnte mich irren, denn meine Gedanken klingen recht vernünftig und strategisch zuverlässig.
david D.
@secretsqrl123
russia has a BIG problem… a few russian units switched sides and joined wagner in this little game.. here they are.
1) Military unit 11659: Command of the 22nd Separate Guards Special Purpose Brigade (RosGvardia), Commandant Company, 2nd Special Communications Detachment.
2) 411th Detachment of the 22nd Separate Guards Special Purpose Brigade, Stepnoy village, Rostov-on-Don.
3) Practically the entire 108th Bataysk GRU Spetsnaz Detachment with all of their Typhoon military vehicles.
4) Unit 14254: 387th Object “C” of the 12th Main Defence Ministry Directorate (nuclear) in the military town of Voronezh-45. Switched sides/surrendered without any resistance.
5) Border guards at Bugaevka checkpoint in Voronezh.
6) Entire FSB Federal Border Service of the regional command center for Voronezh region of the Central Military District.
7) FSB Border Service at Chertkovo customs & border checkpoint.
8) Unit 7437: RosGvardia Spetsnaz motorized regiment.
9) Unit 3677: RosGvardia Separate Battalion in Voronezh. 1
0) Unit 63453: Separate Tank Brigade in Boguchar, Voronezh (MoD)
the largest problem is that the entire HQ from the 22nd SPF (SF) brigade switched sides,,, this unit is deployed to the front fighting in ukr along side the 45th SF brigade at the front of the counter attack… so what do they do? remove the commander and all the senior people??? do they remove the brigade? what?? this will be a big question. its some of russias best troops.
Alexbl@Alexblx
Prigozhin ‘the Peacemaker Tsar’ – whoever would have thought? A popular theory is circulating in #Russia – that the Secret Police have already selected #Prigozhin as #Putin‘s successor and have simply parked him next door in #Belarus so that the pre-ordained succession can be orderly and ‘constitutional’ – whatever that might mean in Russia! Putin’s current Presidential term ends next spring and #Prigozhin will be the nationalist’s candidate to succeed him.
They have guaranteed his security and Putin’s compliance with their plan for his accession to the throne plus his electoral ‘victory’ in the same way Putin ‘wins’ his elections.
The Secret Police want another ‘strongman’ and his destabilization – indeed near subjection – of the Russian state to his whim – has established his credentials.
War weary Oligarchs have given their blessing and hence Prigozhin’s comments about Russia’s incapacity to win the war with its internally looted and externally destroyed military resources – his reference to the possibility of a withdrawal from #Ukraine and his lamenting of the war’s destruction of Russia’s economy.
